The SSC Final Report:
A Few Comments
Summary. In January 1993, the Senate Select Committee on POW-MIA
Affairs adjourned (had been in session since summer 1991) and published their final
report. The final report comments on nearly every aspect of the MIA issue. I
was disappointed that they did not spend much time at on what the Vietnamese, Lao, and
Cambodians (especially the Vietnamese) could tell us. Still, the report is useful.
Not surprisingly it is also misrepresented by the MIA "activist" cult.
This article features several of the major points of the SSC Final Report.
Background
Before dealing with the 1991 - 1993 Senate Select Committee, let's consider the
findings of a congressional committee that the "activists" will never tell you
about.
The House Select Committee
In 1975, Representative "Sonny" Montgomery of Mississippi led the House of
Representatives to form a select committee to review the matter of Americans who remained
missing from the Vietnam War. The Select Committee on Missing Persons in Southeast
Asia convened in 1975 and adjourned in 1976 after 15 months in session. The results
of these hearings were published in five volumes: Americans Missing in Southeast
Asia: Final Report of the House Select Committee on Missing Persons in Southeast
Asia, 94th Congress, 2nd Session, December 13, 1976.
The unequivocal conclusion (in 1976) of the House Select Committee was:
". . . no Americans are still being held as
prisoners in Indochina, or elsewhere, as a result of the war in Indochina."
". . . because of the nature and circumstances in
which many Americans were lost in combat in Indochina, a total accounting by the
Indochinese Governments is not possible and should not be expected."
The two above quotes are from page vii of the Committee's final report.
On the "live prisoner"question
The Select Committee convened at a time when the Vietnam War was still fresh on
the American consciousness -- the Committee was in session 1975-1976; US troops withdrew
from Vietnam in 1973 and the North Vietnamese conquered South Vietnam in April 1975.
For this reason, the "live prisoner" question was on the top of the
Committee's agenda. This is what the Committee said about the question of US POWs
still held in Indochina.
"Because of the multiplicity of the reports of
Americans still held captive . . . the select committee
began its investigation on the assumption that many of those classified as MIA might also
still be alive and held captive." (My
emphasis.)
After fifteen months of investigation, the Committee concluded that these reports were
erroneous or did not pertain to missing Americans -- the Committee then stated:
"MIA families and the American public had been
misled too long and too often by charlatans, opportunists, intelligence fabricators, and
publicity mongers, who preyed on the hopes and sorrows of patriotic citizens."
The two above quotes are from pages 21 and 44 of the Committee's final report.
Ignore what you don't want to hear
I should point out here that nowhere -- nowhere at all -- in the MIA
"activist" literature, speeches, T-shirts, bracelets, videotapes, websites, or
any other product will you find any mention of the House Select Committee
proceedings. Don't believe me? Then try it for yourself -- browse the WWW for
POW-MIA sites -- check out: Ted Sampley's Veterans dispatch page;
pages of the National League of POW-MIA Families and the National Alliance of Families;
the POW-MIA Freedom Fighters site; the Operation Just Because -- oh, excuse me, I meant to
say the Operation Just Cause -- site; all the "MIA remembrance sites" with the
sappy music and flapping flags. Check them out and e-mail me if you find one who mentions the House
Select Committee report. You will not find it. Why not? Because the
findings of that committee do not fit with their beliefs.
The Senate Select Committee, 1991-1993
No need for another select committee
Both Houses of Congress for years resisted calls for another select committee. In
the early 1980s, Congressman Billy Hendon (R, NC), constantly
called for the appointment of a select committee, or of a special standing committee (with
him as the chair).
House and Senate leaders knew that there was nothing to investigate and nothing to
find, but, they could not continue to ignore Hendon. Thus, the MIA issue was handed
to Representative Steve Solarz, as chair of the Asia-Pacific Subcommittee of the House
Foreign Affairs Committee. Solarz established a POW-MIA Ad-hoc Committee and that
committee established the practice of having a member of the minority party as the chair
-- thereby providing the appearance of complete bi-partisan support for this issue.
For several years, this arrangement was satisfactory. Hendon, then-Representative
Bob Smith, and others could come before this ad hoc committee and rave to their heart's
content while the rest of the House got on with serious business.
In the Senate, the MIA issue fell under several committees -- none of which really
wanted anything to do with it. The Senate committees that held hearings on the MIA
issue included the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the Veterans' Affairs
Committee. In both houses, the select committees on intelligence occasionally heard
briefings on the MIA issue.
1991: The MIA cult reacts to the Bush normalization roadmap
Bob Smith was elected to the Senate in 1990. Although Hendon was no longer in
Congress, Smith continued to take orders from Hendon on the MIA issue. Smith
immediately started pushing for a Senate Select committee on the MIA issue. He got
nowhere. In the first place, the Senate was not interested, in the second place, the
Senate leadership knew that this was but a smokescreen to get Hendon into a position where
he could push his nutty ideas.
Then, beginning in the spring of 1991, things went crazy. Read this article for
details of the events in 1991 -- here is a summary:
- The Bush administration released a "roadmap outlining four phases leading to
normalization of relations between Vietnam and the US. The Republican right wing
went crazy. The mental midget trio of Bob Smith, Jesse Helms, and Charles Grassley
-- orchestrated by Billy Hendon -- set out to destroy the roadmap.
- First, they engineered the production of a Senate Foreign Relations report on the US POW
issue. The report was filled with pseudohistory, misrepresentations, and falsehood.
In fact, the principle author of the report eventually admitted falsifying much of
the report.
- Next, they set up a howl to form a Senate Select Committee on POW-MIA Affairs.
- Then, as if by magic, three phony photographs surfaced,
purporting to show US POWs still being held prisoner in SEAsia. The appearance of
these photos got nationwide media attention and spooked the Senate. In spite of the
fact that all three photos were quickly shown to be phony, the Senate rolled over and
formed the Senate Select Committee on POW-MIA Affairs. The members who would
eventually attend all of the meetings and become the main players were John Kerry (D, MA;
chairman), Bob Smith (R, NH; vice-chair), and John McCain (R, AZ). Smith and
McCain quickly became bitter enemies and neither of them disguised their disdain for the
other. Kerry was often called upon to act as referee.
Am I stating here that this was a set-up in response to the "roadmap?"
Look at the sequence of events and decide for yourself.
- The Republican right was opposed to relations with Vietnam -- they wanted to re-fight
the war.
- Bush releases the roadmap and it is welcomed by the US business and foreign policy
communities and by mnost of Congress. Smith, Helms, and Grassley are among
the Republican neanderthals who oppose the roadmap.
- Helms places several associates of Hendon on the minority staff of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee and they produce a seriously flawed report that claims that US POWs
were abandoned in Vietnam.
- Three phony photos appear, each of them associated with Hendon associates.
The SSC staff
Oh, well, the SSC was underway. The committee staff was an interesting
story. Bob Smith appointed Billy Hendon to the staff and Hendon brought along
several of his favorite MIA cult members. Kerry and other members of the SSC called
in some serious people as their contribution to the staff. Thus, the staff had a
split between serious researchers and analysts and a small group of clowns formed around
Hendon. Fairly quickly, Hendon was fired for leaking classified information and some
of his friends were kicked out, too. Still, there were enough "activists"
on the staff to ensure that the wackiest ideas became a focus of investigation.
Chief among these were Dino Carluccio (Smith's assistant) and John McCreary, an analyst
from the Defense Intelligence Agency who DIA was only to happy to lend to the SSC to get
him out of DIA's hair. While Hendon was no longer on the staff, he still had major
influence -- he basically pulled the strings on Bob Smith and daily issued instructions to
the Smith group on the staff.
The result of this split in the staff, and the influence of the "activists,"
was two-fold.
- First, wacky people whose claims had been refuted long ago were given the opportunity to
appear before the SSC and tell their stories as though their claims were worth listening
to. As a result, bogus claims received as much attention as fact. Those
pressing bogus claims included:
- Second, these wacky claims were written into the SSC final report.
And the SSC holds forth
The SSC was in session from summer 1991 until its final report was published in early
1993. I will not recount the history of the SSC; I posted the entire final
report on this site -- here is a link to the
SSC Final Report .
Comments on the SSC Final Report
In the following portion of this article, I will take specific claims that the MIA
"activist" cult makes about the final report and contrast those claims to the
actual words from the report. Here goes.
Quotes from the SSC report are in this
typeface and are set off by horizontal lines.
Were US POWs abandoned in SEAsia at the end of the Vietnam War?
Are men known to be alive in SEAsia (in 1991-93)?
These are the two overarching questions -- were live US POWs left behind and are
US POWs still alive in captivity in SEAsia --or anywhere else for that matter.
The SSC Final Report provides the committee's answer to this question.
What the activists claim the SSC report says
If you read the MIA activist web sites, you will find claims such as these.
- "The SSC final report, on page 6, concluded that 100 US POWs were abandoned at the
end of the war and are known to be alive."
- "The SSC concluded that US POWs are still alive in Vietnam."
- "The SSC found that over 100 Americans are in prisons in Laos and Vietnam."
- And similar claims that the SSC concluded that US POWs were abandoned and are still
alive.
What the report says
The following is quoted from the executive summary of the SSC Final Report.
Americans "Last Known
Alive" in Southeast Asia
Information available to our negotiators and government
officials responsible for the repatriation of prisoners indicated that a group of
approximately 100 American civilians and servicemen expected to return at Operation
Homecoming did not. Some of these men were known to have been taken captive; some were
known only to have survived their incidents; others were thought likely to have survived.
The White House expected that these individuals would be accounted for by our adversaries,
either as alive or dead, when the war came to an end.
Because they were not accounted for then, despite our
protests, nor in the period immediately following when the trail was freshest and the
evidence strongest, twenty years of agony over this issue began. This was the moment when
the POW/MIA controversy was born.
The failure of our Vietnam war adversaries to account for
these "last known alive" Americans meant that families who had had good reason
to expect the return of their loved ones instead had cause for renewed grief. Amidst their
sorrow, the nation hailed the war's end; the President said that all our POWs are "on
the way home"; and the Defense Department, following standard procedures, began
declaring missing men dead. Still, the governments in Southeast Asia did not cooperate,
and the answers that these families deserved did not come. In 1976, the Montgomery
Committee concluded that because there was no evidence that missing Americans had
survived, they must be dead. In 1977, a Defense Department official said that the
distinction between Americans still listed as "POW" and those listed as
"missing" had become "academic". Nixon, Ford and Carter Administration
officials all dismissed the possibility that American POWs had survived in Southeast Asia
after Operation Homecoming.
This Committee has uncovered evidence that precludes it from
taking the same view. We acknowledge that there is no proof that U.S. POWs survived, but
neither is there proof that all of those who did not return had died. There is evidence,
moreover, that indicates the possibility of survival, at least for a small number, after
Operation Homecoming:
First, there are the Americans known or thought possibly to
have been alive in captivity who did not come back; we cannot dismiss the chance that some
of these known prisoners remained captive past Operation Homecoming.
Second, leaders of the Pathet Lao claimed throughout the war
that they were holding American prisoners in Laos. Those claims were believed--and, up to
a point, validated--at the time; they cannot be dismissed summarily today.
Third, U.S. defense and intelligence officials hoped that
forty or forty-one prisoners captured in Laos would be released at Operation Homecoming,
instead of the twelve who were actually repatriated. These reports were taken seriously
enough at the time to prompt recommendations by some officials for military action aimed
at gaining the release of the additional prisoners thought to be held.
Fourth, information collected by U.S. intelligence agencies
during the last 19 years, in the form of live-sighting, hearsay, and other intelligence
reports, raises questions about the possibility that a small number of unidentified U.S.
POWs who did not return may have survived in captivity.
Finally, even after Operation Homecoming and returnee
de-briefs, more than 70 Americans were officially listed as POWs based on information
gathered prior to the signing of the peace agreement; while the remains of many of these
Americans have been repatriated, the fates of some continue unknown to this day.
Given the Committee's findings, the question arises as to
whether it is fair to say that American POWs were knowingly abandoned in Southeast Asia
after the war. The answer to that question is clearly no. American officials did not have
certain knowledge that any specific prisoner or prisoners were being left behind. But
there remains the troubling question of whether the Americans who were expected to return
but did not were, as a group, shunted aside and discounted by government and population
alike. The answer to that question is essentially yes.
And there you have it. There is no definitive statement by the SSC that US POWs
were abandoned at the end of the war and are still alive today. In fact, the SSC's
conclusion in this regard is exactly what the US government's position has been for years:
There are cases in which men were last known alive, there are cases in which
men may have survived their loss, and there are men known or suspected to have been
captured about whom we have not received or developed sufficient information to make a
definitive conclusion about their fates. In light of this uncertainty, we cannot
rule out the possibility that some of them remain alive. This position is
hardly an finding that men are still alive in SEAsia -- it is nothing more than a prudent
position in view of uncertainty.
But -- the report is almost ten years old
The important thing to remember now is that the SSC was in session summer 1991 through
January 1993. The report, then, is based on information that today -- October 2000 -
is almost ten years old. Since the late 1980s, US investigators have had broad
access to information that we did not have at the time of the SSC hearings. US
search teams regularly go into Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia where they excavate crash and
grave sites and recover remains. US investigators and researchers have excellent
access to the records of our former adversaries. For ten years US researchers have
conducted an oral history program in which they are interviewing former enemy soldiers as
to their contact with Americans.
The result of this extensive access to the battlefields and to our former adversaries
is that many of the losses that were "discrepancies" or "last known
alive" at the end of the war -- the cases on which the committee's conclusion is
based -- have been resolved and it is clear that these men died in their loss incidents,
died in captivity, or died evading capture. Thus, if the SSC were to review the
evidence today, they would likely reach a different conclusion.
At any rate, the SSC did NOT conclude that US POWs were abandoned in 1973 and
were still alive at the time of the committee's work.
Is there a conspiracy within the US government to cover up the presence of live US
POWs from the Vietnam War?
The MIA cult frequently charges that there is a deep conspiracy to cover up the
existence of US POWs, to lie to families, to mislead families, to reward those officials
who cooperate with the conspiracy and to punish those who do not. The SSC
investigated the idea of a conspiracy to hide the truth.
What the activists claim the SSC report says
The activists have nothing to say about this. That is, when the
MIA "activist" cult shouts about the "cover up and conspiracy," they
say nothing about the conclusions of the SSC.
What the report says
This is what the report says about the conspiracy theory -- and when you read this, you
will see why the "activists" do not quote from the SSC report regarding their
conspiracy claims. The following quote is from the executive summary.
There is at least one aspect of the POW/MIA
controversy that should be laid to rest conclusively with this investigation and that is
the issue of conspiracy.
Allegations have been made in the past that our government has
had a "mindset to debunk" reports that American prisoners have been sighted in
Southeast Asia. Our Committee found reason to take those allegations seriously. But we
also found in some quarters a "mindset to accuse" that has given birth to vast
and implausible theories of conspiracy and conscious betrayal. Those theories are without
foundation.
Yes, there have been failures of policy, priority and process.
Over the years, until this investigation, the Executive branch's penchant for secrecy and
classification contributed greatly to perceptions of conspiracy. In retrospect, a more
open policy would have been better. But America's government too closely reflects
America's people to have permitted the knowing and willful abandonment of U.S. POWs and a
subsequent coverup spanning almost 20 years and involving literally thousands of people.
The POW/MIA issue is too important and too personal for us to
allow it to be driven by theory; it must be driven by fact. Witness after witness was
asked by our Committee if they believed in, or had evidence of, a conspiracy either to
leave POWs behind or to conceal knowledge of their fates--and no evidence was produced.
The isolated bits of information out of which some have constructed whole labyrinths of
intrigue and deception have not withstood the tests of objective investigation; and the
vast archives of secret U.S. documents that some felt contained incriminating evidence
have been thoroughly examined by the Committee only to find that the conspiracy cupboard
is bare.
The quest for the fullest possible accounting of our
Vietnam-era POW/MIAs must continue, but if our efforts are to be effective and fair to
families, they must go forward within the context of reality, not fiction.
Read that again: ". . . documents that some felt contained incriminating evidence have been
thoroughly examined by the Committee only to find that the conspiracy cupboard is bare.
"
This is why the activists do not use the SSC report to support their conspiracy claims.
We should ask the MIA activists cult this obvious question: If the SSC
report on the live POW question is worth quoting, why do you not also quote the
committee's findings on the "cover-up-and-conspiracy" theory? But,
logical consistency has never been their strong point.
Is there evidence in the signals intelligence that US POWs were abandoned?
. . . taken to the USSR or China?
. . . are still alive?
What the activists claim the SSC report says
The activists like to claim that there is clear evidence in the signal intelligence --
the radio intercepts -- that prove US POWs were abandoned, were taken to the USSR or
China, and are still alive. However, as with the conspiracy claim, the activists
refrain from using the SSC report to support their position.
Jerry Mooney, hero to the activists
One of the activists' heroes is former USAF Master Sergeant Jerry Mooney. Mooney
was a signal intelligence analyst who, during the Vietnam War, served a tour of duty at an
analysis center in Guam, not in Vietnam. His job was to do long-term analysis of the
Vietnamese logistic and transport system. Mooney has become notable because of two
of his claims:
- Mooney claims that he developed information that tracked US POWs from SEAsia to the
USSR. He coined the phrase "Moscow Bound" -- he claimed that he even
marked a list of missing men as "MB" based on his signals analysis.
- Mooney is the individual who claims that the crew of Baron 52,
an EC-47Q electronic recon aircraft lost in February 1972, was captured and taken to
Moscow.
Neither of these claims has any merit but try to tell that to the cultists.
What the SSC said about Mooney
Mooney remained concerned about the POW-MIA
issue after his retirement from the U.S. Air Force. He permitted Committee investigators
and NSA officials to review the extensive information that he has collected since his
retirement. He reconstructed some of the information from memory, and because his NSA
working aids apparently no longer exist, it was impossible to check his recollections
against his Vietnam War-era information.
However, it was possible to check his "reconstructed
information" against war-time SIGINT reports. Each one of Mooney's allegations was
investigated by NSA, and a corresponding all-source investigation was conducted by DIA.
Neither agency was able to confirm any of Mooney's allegations, particularly those
involving the suspected movement of American POWs to the Soviet Union.
Interestingly, as part of his research he has identified
several names of members of the foreign news media who had access to U.S. prisoners. If
contacted, these individuals might be able to provide additional information on U.S.
POW's. The Committee believes that this would be an appropriate task as part of an
intelligence community open-source collection effort. In any event, Mooney's material has
allowed Committee investigators to bring together a great deal of material as an
additional check on the information that NSA has on hand. His efforts on behalf of the
POW-MIA issue are greatly appreciated.
Not exactly a ringing endorsement of Mooney. Basically, the SSC found that Mooney
had no useful information and was not able to support any of his claims. Further,
the SSC found numerous people who worked the same material as Mooney who testified that
Mooney was way off base.
The "activists" do not quote the SSC report on Mooney for obvious reasons.
Terry Minarcin and Barry Toll
Minarcin was, like Mooney, a SIGINT analyst during the war. He
claimed to have information similar to Mooney's. Minarcin even claimed to have seen
a photo showing four men off Baron 52 in captivity. He showed the photo to the
committee, complete with tears as he described his former comrades being led off to
Moscow. Problem is that the photo he showed was a photo of four US POWs who were
captured years before Baron 52 was lost; US intell obtained the photo from the East
European communist press years before the loss of Baron 52.
Barry Toll was a former US Army sergeant who had served a tour as an
intelligence staff member on the airborne command post -- the "doomsday
aircraft" operating out of Langley AFB, Virginia. Toll claimed to have had
midnight conversations with Richard Nixon, and he claimed to have seen briefing material
about US POWs still alive in SEAsia. Toll's stories are bogus -- he was under
investigation by the Defense Intelligence Agency when he got out of the Army, he later
served time for cocaine trafficking. Read about Toll here.
What the SSC said about Toll and Minarcin
The Committee found no evidence to corroborate
claims by Terrell Minarcin; sources Minarcin suggested investigators interview and others
said his claims were unfounded. Although Barry Toll did occupy the position of
Intelligence NCO on the CINCLANT Airborne Command Post and did have access to sensitive
message traffic, Committee investigators were unable to locate any former crew members of
his team who could corroborate the messages he claims to have seen. His former Army JAG
lawyer did corroborate partly his allegations that DIA continued to monitor his
whereabouts after his military discharge.
What the committee really found out about Minarcin and Toll
was not in their final report because the activist staffers kept it out. It's
not that witnesses could not be found to support Minarcin or Toll, it's that witness after
witness who served with these men refuted everything that Minarcin and Toll claimed. You
will never hear the activists use the SSC report when they talk about Minarcin and Toll.
Is there imagery -- satellite imagery or airborne imagery -- that supports the clams
that US POWs remain alive in SEAsia?
First, before reading further, you need to read these articles:
- Article about claims that "evader symbols" or
"pilot authenticator codes" were seen in imagery of Vietnam in the early 1990s.
- Testimony by Assistant Secretary of Defense Duane Andrews on
the imagery topic.
- A letter written in response to one MIA "activist"
who insists that "pilot authenticator codes" were seen in imagery of Vietnam in
the early 1990s.
Those three articles will lay out the whole story. After reading the articles,
come back here and read what the SSC report said about the imagery question.
Recommendations
The intelligence community must respond more rapidly to
potential ground-to-air signals identified on overhead imagery. If a possible symbol
is the work of a POW, it is vital we visit that site immediately.
. It is strongly recommended that an interagency task group of
experienced imagery analysts be formed to review all available imagery of prisons or
suspect detention areas in Vietnam and Laos, after 1973, for indications of possible
distress symbols.
. DIA and CIA should establish a closer and more formalized
working relationship with JSSA. JSSA should be consulted immediately, whenever suspect
symbols or questionable markings appear on imagery.
. It is recommended that JSSA be permitted to attend IAG
meetings, in an advisory capacity as an additional representative of the Joint Staff.
. Pilot distress symbols should, immediately, be designated a
priority collection requirement for Southeast Asia.
. All imagery analysts with responsibilities pertaining to
POW/MIA analysis, should be thoroughly briefed and preferably trained in SERE techniques
and methods.
. In the case of the "GX 2527" because the number
corresponds to a specific individual, the Committee agrees that the benefit of doubt
should go to that possible individual, certainly enough to warrant a "by-name"
request by an appropriately high ranking U.S. official to the Vietnamese government, for
information on that missing serviceman. In making that request, it should be emphasized to
the Vietnamese that there is a basis for questioning whether he could be alive.
These symbols have been energetically pursued and explained to
the satisfaction of all reasonable critics, some Members believe. It is also germane to
point out that some inexperienced analysts also have been able to find "symbols"
in Africa, in the state of Utah; they also can be seen in vestiges of the
photo-development process.
These "symbols" are in fact indicators which are not
man-made, not on the ground and have no realistic basis in fact. Professional examinations
have found all of these so-called "symbols" to be invalid.
In addition, some Members agree that the treatment of the
"USA/possible K" symbol, the "1953/1973 TH" symbol, and the alleged
"52" at a site in Laos are misleading in the extreme. The Report does not
describe the extensive investigations conducted by the U.S. intelligence community into
these symbols and the findings which relate to the probable origins of these symbols.
Specifically, the December 1992 on-site investigation of the "USA" symbol
determined that the symbol was not a distress signal and had nothing to do with missing
Americans. Some Members believe that the results of the investigation determined that the
symbol was made by Hmong tribe members from Ban Houei Hin Dam village, Huoa Phan Province,
Laos.
Note that the SSC completely avoided answering the question as to whether
or not the imagery was definitive.
When the "activists" refer to the SSC report regarding imagery, the only
thing they bring up is this recommendation: "It is
strongly recommended that an interagency task group of experienced imagery analysts be
formed to review all available imagery of prisons or suspect detention areas in Vietnam
and Laos, after 1973, for indications of possible distress symbols."
What about the "live sighting" reports?
Before reading the following section, I recommend you read this
article on the "live sighting" reports.
What the activists claim about "live sightings"
You will find claims all over the activist websites, publications, speeches, and other
pronouncements that "thousands of live-sighting reports" prove that US
POWs were abandoned and are still alive.
What the SSC report says about "live sightings"
As long as live-sighting reports remain under
investigation, they constitute a measure of potential evidence that US POWs may have been
left behind and survived in captivity, at least for a time. It is also possible that one
or more of DIA's past report evaluations is incorrect. As rigorous as the current
analytical process appears to be, it remains dependent at times on deductions that,
although highly logical, are still less than 100% certain.
Examples of this are cases where DIA has correlated sightings
to Soviet advisers because advisers were present in an area or discounted reports because
multiple other refugees from a particular area have reported seeing no U.S. POWs. The
existence of a small degree of uncertainty is inevitable in making such judgments and a
small degree of uncertainty is all that is -- or should be -- required to ensure that the
live-sighting followup process continues to be taken very seriously and that evaluations
be done with enormous care.
Arriving at a firm judgment about the overall significance of
live-sighting reports is complicated by several factors. Many such reports are obvious
fabrications. Others are so vague as to make meaningful follow-up impossible. Nailing down
specific information about incidents that may have occurred ten or fifteen or more years
ago is, at best, extremely difficult. And as mentioned above, analytical judgments, even
when professionally arrived at, often retain an element of subjectivity.
Another complicating factor in assessing live-sighting reports
is the frequent need for foreign country cooperation. In that sense, the U.S. Government's
official investigators are caught in what is perhaps the ultimate "Catch-22". If
an apparently credible report should be received concerning the possible presence of
Americans in Vietnam or Laos, cooperation from the governments of those countries may well
be required to check the report out. But the very process of asking permission jeopardizes
the credibility of the investigation. As a result, the DIA supplements its official
requests with other means of gathering information, but these other methods may be
relatively slow and uncertain. One routine but increasingly available method of gaining
information consists simply of talking to average Vietnamese in their own cities and
villages. The presence of full time American investigators in Hanoi and hopefully, in Laos
and Cambodia, as well, should augment the amount of information collected by this method.
The Committee notes that political changes particularly in
Cambodia, but also in Vietnam and Laos, have greatly expanded the number of Caucasians
living or traveling freely in southeast Asia. This creates a likelihood that there will be
a rising number of well-intentioned, but inaccurate, reports concerning possible American
POWs. It is important that procedures be established so that the limited resources of DIA
investigators are not squandered on reports that obviously do not pertain to possible U.S.
POW/MIAs.
It is DIA's judgment that the live-sighting reports they have
received and evaluated do not constitute "evidence" that any U.S. POWs remained
in captivity in southeast Asia after the war, although the possibility that this did occur
cannot be ruled out. There was considerable discussion by Committee Members during the
course of its investigation about DIA's use of the term "evidence" in that
statement. Some Members felt that the number and detail of live-sighting reports clearly
constituted "evidence" that Americans were left behind, even if serious
questions about the validity of individual reports had been raised. Other Members agreed
with DIA that a large number of reports does not necessarily signify anything if there are
strong reasons to discount each of the reports. No Committee Member would argue that
existing reports constitute hard proof that American POWs remained behind or are still
being held captive in southeast Asia.
The Committee investigation also found that:
. There is no evidence that officials or investigators from
DIA have concealed or covered up information concerning the possible presence of live
Americans in Southeast Asia.
. The current DIA staff, especially those based in southeast
Asia, deserve credit for an enormous and steadily increasing amount of work performed
under very difficult and uncomfortable conditions.
. In order to ensure objectivity, there must be a continued
and conscious effort on the part of DIA leadership to maintain an attitude among analysts
that presumes the possible survival of U.S. POWs in southeast Asia to the present day.
. The DIA should routinely review its analytical methods for
the purpose of ensuring the most rigorous possible, all-source, evaluation of
live-sighting reports, including hearsay reports where feasible.
. Continued emphasis should be placed on establishing a
strong, on the ground, live-sighting investigatory capability in Laos and Cambodia and on
expanding that capability within Vietnam.
. The highest priority should continue to be given to credible reports that live
Americans are currently being held.
The SSC conclusions on the "live sightings" do not support any of the claims
by the activists.
The end (of this article)
It's time to end this article.
Here is my point: The MIA "activist" cult selectively refers to
the final report by the Senate Select Committee on POW-MIA Affairs to support their bogus
claims. They do not use the SSC report where it does not support or where it refutes
them.
Rather than accept someone else's word for it, I recommend that interested folks
read the SSC report for yourself.
October 28, 2000
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