The 2015 Re-Organization:
Comments and a Prediction
At the end of March 2014,
SECDEF Hagel announced a "reorganization" of the DoD POW/MIA accounting effort.
Hagel named Michael Lumpkin (Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special
Operation/Low Intensity Conflict, Performing Duties, of Under Secretary of
Defense for Policy) as the man to head the reorganization effort. Lumpkin
promised a new day, with transparency in the process and equal treatment of all
POW/MIA family organizations.
Shortly thereafter the Personnel Accounting Command Task Force (PACT) stood
up for an 18-month mission. Heading the PACT team is Alisa Stack. Among the
team's tasks was "working with all POW/MIA family groups to gain input on how
best to improve the POW/MIA accounting effort."
Stack and DoD then contracted with The Clearing, a Washington D.C.,
consulting firm whose expertise is the reorganization of dysfunctional
operations. The Clearing came on the scene the same as every other consultant
I've ever heard: "The families are the customer" and the "families are the
stakeholders" and the new organization should "serve the families.
The Clearing cranked up, engaging with POW/MIA family members and
organizations, to include weekly group conference calls with the leadership of
the five POW/MIA family groups. I can't figure out which five groups we are
talking about; nevertheless, one family group declined further participation
after the first call. The weekly calls with the four remaining groups
continued.
I did hear some rumors of what the reorganization might include. Such as
- DoD "working with" private groups to recover remains. Bad idea.
Some of the "private groups" are nutty as a PortaPotty at a peanut
festival. How would DoD decide which groups to work with and which to
ignore.
- Ditto for a rumored proposal about closer cooperation between family
groups and DoD. There is already very close cooperation between reasonable
family groups and DoD. On the other hand, certain "family" groups and
groups of "concerned citizens" are nutty and should be ignored. How to tell
the difference?
Then, in late July 2014, Michael Lumpkin was
gone, replaced by Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Christine Wormuth. PACT
and The Clearing sort of slowly faded from view.
31 October 2014. DoD held a conference call for
POW/MIA family groups and Veterans Organizations. Attendees voice their main
complaint, a perceived lack of transparency in the reorganization process.
Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel promised total transparency saying,
"Transparency starts today."
Minutes later Secretary Hagel announces a pause in the reorganization effort
to allow Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Christine Wormuth to catch up and
see where the reorganization stands.
In early December, one of the minor family groups -- one that still beats the
drum for live prisoners being held in SEAsia talked with Ms. Wormuth who assured
them DoD will make no decisions without consulting the family groups.
9 January 2015. USD (Policy) Wormuth holds a
conference call for POW/MIA family groups, and veterans' organizations in which
she announced several decisions, including:
- Appointment of an Interim Director for the new organization.
- Appointment of a Deputy Director and a Senior Advisor to assist in the
reorganization.
- The stand-down of PACT.
- No mention of The Clearing.
The interim director, Admiral Franken, admitted he knew nothing about the MIA
issue.
Got that? So -- here we are in February
2015 with some kind of organization within DoD responsible for policy
guidance and actions on the MIA issue. I refuse to say the "POW/MIA" issue
because we are not talking about prisoners of war. In fact, we really aren't
talking about "Missing In Action." No one is missing. Not from Vietnam, WW II,
Korea, the Cold War, or any combat actions since the end of the Vietnam War. No
one is missing. We know what happened to them, we have not been able to recover
remains.
So -- what happened? Here's my take on
it.
FIRST. I suspect SECDEF Hagel was jammed up by the
life-long Executive Director of the National League of Families of Prisoners and
Missing in Southeast Asia. Hagel is a Republican and the League's ED is a big
Republican with deep contacts within the GOP hierarchy. I suspect she got a
one-one-one with him, fed him her usual crap, and he bolted.
SECOND. Hagel went into the "Ready, Fire, Aim"
mode and made a lot of noise about the MIA issue. Because his information came
almost 100% from the League's Director, he didn't have the facts at hand. Hagel
appointed some heavy firepower to look into things, including a consulting firm.
Hagel's people talked to a lot of "family groups," most of whom are overrun
with "cover-up-and-conspiracy" believers who no doubt fed the consultants the
usual nonsense about "prisoners still alive in Hanoi," "the government is
withholding information." "the government ignores family members," and other
specious charges.
THIRD. After a few months of gathering facts,
Hagel's people realized there is nothing much to the "MIA issue." It's a graves
registration matter -- trying to collect remains from old battlefields; trying
to dig up information out of archives in other countries; and, trying to
identify any remains that are recovered. I suspect Hagel's people realized that
what DoD is doing now, and has been doing for years, is on target and, while a
bit of reorganization may be in order, things are not broken. I suspect
Hagel's people also learned that nothing is withheld from the families -- if DoD
has a scrap of information about a missing man, the family has that information
also.
FOURTH. I suspect SECDEF's team discovered the
overlap and duplication of effortr in the current structure with several
different groups working on various aspect of the matter. I won't be surprised
to see come consolidation of missions:
- DPMO -- the Defense POW-Missing Personnel Office;
Washington, DC
- JPRC -- Joint Personnel Recovery Center; Hawaii
- AFDIL -- Armed Forces DNA Identification Lab; DC area
- and a number of other organizations who provide
technical or specialty support -- for example, an Air Force group at
Wright-Patterson AB, OH, that maintains detailed records on aircraft. These
records are used to identify aircraft wreckage recovered from crash sites,
frequently using serial numbers from parts of the wreckage.
Now, the SECDEF's problem is how to unstick himself and his
senior staff from the tar baby they so readily snatched up in March 2014.
As of mid-February 2015, the
"new" organization is
beginning to take shape. As usual, all is optimism and promise.
Seems to me as though everyone is ignoring one critical
item: We can't identify someone whom we can't recover. In order to recover
someone, we must find, confirm, and excavate the war-time crash site, gravesite,
or similar location. Access to the old battlefields of SEAsia is controlled by
Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. We can pull all records together in one location;
combine staffs; combine organizations. But we can't order our way into
sovereign nations. Thus, don't expect much to come from this reorganization.
I predict:
- We will continue to recover and identify remains at
the same pace in past years.
- "Activist" families and "concerned citizens" will
continue to claim they are being lied to.
- A new SECDEF will reorganize in another eight to ten
years.
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