The "1205 Document:" Authentic? Accurate? A Forgery?
Either Way: Not Factual
Summary. One item that is often referred to in the MIA issue is the
so-called "1205 document," or the "Tran Van Quang" document. An
Australian researcher, working in Soviet archives in 1993, found a document that claimed
to be a report made to the Politburo of the Vietnamese Communist Party on September 15,
1972 by "General Lieutenant Tran Van Quang, the Deputy Chief of the General Staff of
the VPA." ( Vietnam People's Army ) Allegedly, a source working for
Soviet intelligence reported the contents of General Tran's report in which he claimed
that the North Vietnamese were actually holding, as of September 1972, 1,205
"American prisoners of war."
Considering that, only a few months later in the spring of 1973, only 591 Americans
were released at Operation Homecoming, if this document is accurate, then over 600 US POWs
were not released and, instead, were kept behind by the North Vietnamese.
The 1,205 document went on to describe how US POWs were held, the number of prisons,
number of Americans by rank, and other details.
The document may be an authentic report from an agent inside the Vietnamese Communist
Party but the information in the document is not accurate and much of it is not even
true. The document is, however, accepted as gospel by those who argue that the
Vietnamese withheld US POWs at the end of the war. The following article summarizes
the 1,205 document and lays out the evidence that refutes the validity of the document.
The 1,205 Document Emerges
Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, researchers from around the world began to
seek access to archives of various Soviet organizations -- military, economic, foreign
policy, intelligence, etc. An Australian, Dr. Stephen Morris, was working in the
archives of the former Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union when,
in January 1993, he discovered a document marked "Extremely Secret" and stamped
with the stamp of the GRU -- Soviet General Staff Intelligence.
What Is the 1,205 Document Purported To Be?
I will cut through a lengthy description of the document to get to the point. The
document, on its face, appeared to be a report from an agent within the Vietnamese
Communist Party who was reporting to Soviet intelligence. The document was 25
pages long, dated December 1, 1972 and was entitled "Translation of the
Report of Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Vietnamese People's Army, General-Lieutenant
Tran Van Quang, at the Session of the Politburo, Central Committee of the Vietnamese
Communist Party, 15 September 1972."
(( NOTE: For those who are up not on Communist organizations,
the Central Committee of any communist party is close to where the power
lies. Communist Party organizations across the country "elect"
representatives to a Party Congress. This Party Congress meets, usually,
every four years; a Party Congress may be held more or less often depending on how things
are going inside the country and the party. The most powerful members of the Party
are "elected" by the Party Congress to the Party Central Committee and the
Central Committee meets once a year or more often. The Central Committee
elects a Standing Committee that is empowered to act on behalf of the Central
Committee and the Standing Committee, which consists of only the senior and most powerful
members of the party, is where real decisions are made. The Central Committee works
through Bureaus, on e of which is the Political Bureau -- the Politburo -- When the
Central Committee meets, the committees hear status reports from all sorts of folks:
foreign affairs, economics, health, education, military, whatever. Thus, this report
claims to be the text of a report made by a leading member of the military to the
Political Bureau of the Party's Central Committee. Normally, these reports are
highly guarded because they are frank, no-nonsense assessments of what is really
happening. It is not unusual for a communist regime to be reporting to the world
that life is great, when, in fact, the Central Committee is hearing reports that the
wheels are falling off the wagon. ))
So, this document would have us believe that, sitting there in the meeting of the
Politburo of the Vietnamese Communist Party Central Committee, was a Vietnamese who was
spying on his own party for the Soviets. General Tran Van Quang supposedly
made a report. This agent then is supposed to have made a lengthy and detailed
report to his Soviet intelligence case officer as to the contents of Tran Van
Quang's report. The case officer would have prepared a report and sent it to
Moscow; this report -- by the Russian case officer -- is what Morris found.
The document contained what amounted to a status report to the Communist Party by the
Vietnamese military high command on a number of issues current as of September 1972.
The document discussed the ( failed ) Easter Offensive, attempts to subvert South
Vietnamese military officers, the progress of a secret campaign to assassinate South
Vietnamese leaders, among other matters.
The 1,205 Document Discusses US POWs
Then, according to the document, Tran Van Quang turned to a discussion of US
"prisoners of war" held by the North Vietnamese military. Here is what the
document had to say about US POWs. What follows in green
type are quotes from the "1,205 document."
"The total number of American prisoners of war captured
to date on the fronts of Indochina, in other words, in North Vietnam, South Vietnam, Laos,
and Cambodia totals 1,205 people."
The report stated that these 1,205 prisoners "are
presently in prisons in North Vietnam." There are a total of eleven
prisons. "We used to have 4 large prisons; however,
after the American effort to free their prisoners of war from Ho-Toy ( the Son
Tay raid ) we expanded this number to eleven. Each prison
holds approximately 100 prisoners of war."
The report claimed that Americans were kept in different prisons according to rank and
it stated that the population of American prisoners included "16
colonels," "we are also holding 104 American lieutenant colonels in one
place," and "235 majors are concentrated in
two places." The American captives included "3
cosmonauts ( astronauts )."
The report states that "until now we have published a
lost of only 368 prisoners of war, the remainder have not been revealed."
And More
I am not going to go on and list all the details of who did what with and for and to
whom when this document hit the streets. It is sufficient to say that the document
caused a real firestorm. Senator Bob Smith proclaimed: "It's an authentic
document. There's no question about that." Other equally conclusive
claims were made regarding the document.
Malcolm McConnell, in his book Inside Hanoi's Secret Archives gives a good
layout of what went on after the document became public ( pp. 340 - 356 ) and I commend
that passage to you.
Serious Problems With the 1,205 Document
The document's assertions about US POWs in Vietnam are seriously flawed and , in most
cases, are directly refuted by facts. Let's review the most egregious errors in the
document.
Wrong Time, Wrong Place
The problem begins with the origin of the document:
"Translation of the Report of Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Vietnamese
People's Army, General-Lieutenant Tran Van Quang, at the Session of the Politburo,
Central Committee of the Vietnamese Communist Party, 15 September 1972."
( My emphasis added. )
Tran Van Quang was, at the time of this report, the commander
of the North Vietnamese B-4 Front, a military region that straddled the demilitarized zone
between North and South Vietnam. He held that position until 1974. There was
no Politburo meeting in September 1972.
Wrong Numbers, Wrong Procedures
The document listed several ranks of American prisoners -- 16 colonels, 104 lieutenant
colonels, and 235 majors. The actual numbers of missing
Americans of these ranks are lower than the claims in the 1,205 document. Thus, it
is impossible for the Vietnamese to have been holding these numbers of these ranks.
( NOTE: Someone may wish to leap in here and point out that
there are more colonels, lieutenant colonels, majors, or whatever than this in current MIA
listings. Maybe so -- I have not counted. But, remember, when a man is missing
or is a prisoner, he is promoted along with his contemporaries. . And, when a
man is declared presumptive finding of death, he is promoted one rank So, the
important rank is the rank at time of loss, not the rank at which a man is now
carried. And there were not those numbers of those ranks missing. )
All Wrong on the Aftermath of Son Tay
The report stated that Americans were being held in a total of eleven prisons. "We used to have 4 large prisons; however, after the American effort
to free their prisoners of war from Ho-Toy ( the Son Tay raid ) we expanded this number to eleven. Each prison holds approximately
100 prisoners of war."
This is total fiction. The real situation is the opposite. After the Son Tay raid, US POWs were moved from thirteen outlying prisons
-- some as far away as Cao Bang near the Chinese border -- into six prisons in Hanoi.
( Pp. 313 - 337, "Americans Missing in Southeast
Asia," Hearings Before The House Select Committee on Missing Persons in
Southeast Asia, 94th Congress, 1st Session, Part 3, Feb. 4 - Mar 31, 1976
) Why the consolidation of US POWs? Because we had proven that we had the will and
the ability to get into these outlying prisons. Concentrating US POWs in the big
prisons in Hanoi was a security measure. No Vietnamese official who had any contact
with US POWs would be ignorant of this fact.
All Wrong on the Location of US POWs
The document states that these 1,205 prisoners "are
presently in prisons in North Vietnam."
In fact, Americans were held in South Vietnam -- actually in
jungle camps in South Vietnam and in the border areas of South Vietnam, Laos, and
Cambodia. During Operation Homecoming in 1973, over 100 Americans were released in
the south. The claim that all 1,205 were in North Vietnam is demonstrably
bogus and, again, no knowledgeable Vietnamese military official would have made this
error.
Wrong on North Vietnamese Public Statements
The report states that "until now we have published a
lost of only 368 prisoners of war, the remainder have not been revealed."
In fact, one month earlier, in August 1972, on the occasion of
releasing some US POWs to a group of anti-war activists, the Vietnamese released a list of
383 men they were holding. This fact was well-known ( New
York Times, Sep. 3, 1972 ); why would a report to the Politburo contain
such an error?
Many Other Equally Serious Flaws
There are other serious flaws in the 1,205 document that doom its accuracy.
- The document uses the term "prisoners of war."
The Vietnamese never referred to American captives
as "prisoners of war;" they used the phrase "captured American
military personnel."
- The claim that three of the US POWs were "cosmonauts"
( astronauts ) is not true.
- Another untrue claim is that US POWs were segregated by rank, with colonels, lieutenant
colonels, and majors all being held in separate facilities. Not
a single returnee indicated such segregation and not a shred of evidence that US
intelligence developed during and after the war has supported such a claim.
Internal Problems
US intelligence has seen a large volume of Vietnamese Communist Party documents,
ranging from documents produced by low-level Party organs all the way to documents from
the Party's highest ranking inner circles. The "1,205 document,"
which purports to be a report given by a senior military officer to the highest levels of
the Communist Party, simply does not fit the pattern of a Communist Party document.
Here are some elements of the document that make it suspect.
It uses the name of the individual delivering the report. Senior
Communist officials did not use their real names, even in official correspondence; they
used aliases. The document clearly states that it is a report by Tran Van
Quang. Tran Van Quang's alias was "Bay Tien" and he used this
alias in his correspondence, reports, and other communications. He would have used
the same alias in delivering this report to the Politburo.
The document is almost completely devoid of honorifics and titles. That
is, it starts out something like "Honored Comrades," then it goes on in almost
conversational style. Not so. Reports to senior officials were delivered
with all sorts of honorifics and titles by the official delivering the report.
No senior military officer would have addressed the Politburo in this fashion.
The Vietnamese Comment on the 1,205 Document
General John Vessey was appointed by President Reagan as Special Emissary to Vietnam on
POW-MIA Affairs. His appointment was repeated by Presidents Bush and Clinton.
Vessey was a former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. General Vessey joined the
Minnesota National Guard before WW II; he told me that, at the time, his goal was to be
promoted to PFC. He received a battlefield commission on Anzio, was decorated in
three wars, commanded a division in Vietnam, and became Chairman of the Joint
Chiefs. He is a man of impeccable integrity. He is as gentle as your
grandfather but don't let that fool you: General Vessey is tough as woodpecker lips.
When the 1,205 document appeared, Vessey jumped on it. He was ready to go to
Hanoi and rip off a few heads. In April 1993, after US intelligence had looked at
the document and after everyone had blown off steam about it, Vessey went to Hanoi.
He cut through the crap, dismissed all the formalities, and told the Vietnamese that they
had best come clean. The Vietnamese were pissed. Here is what the Vietnamese told
Vessey about the 1,205 document:
- The document is either a forgery or a piece of bad reporting. It has
internal errors, factual errors, and, besides, there was not even a Politburo meeting in
September 1972. ( We knew that. )
- Tran Van Quang came up and showed documents proving that he was Commander of the B4
Front until 1974 and was in no position to have delivered the "report." ( We
knew that, too. )
- The document is a Russian forgery. Yeltsin is an anti-Communist and he
wanted the document to show that the Vietnamese were not to be trusted. The
Vietnamese claimed that Yeltsin was trying to curry favor with the US so he could stay in
power. ( Their opinion. )
The 1,205 document, then, is not accurate as to its
claims and it in no way proves that the Vietnamese did not release some large number of US
POWs at the end of the war.
So, Where Did the Document Originate?
There are several questions about the validity and accuracy of the document.
First, we must separate "authenticity" from "accuracy."
The document may be authentic -- it may be a real agent report from a real agent of
a real event -- but it is not accurate -- the information in it is wrong. Of
course, in addition to not being accurate, it may not be authentic -- it may be a forgery.
Let's examine the various theories that have been advanced as to the true nature of
the 1,205 document.
- It is accurate and authentic and there really were 1,205 US POWs.
- It is authentic but the source embellished the story.
- The number "1,205" refers to the total of US POWs and certain South
Vietnamese POWs.
- It is a forgery by Russian intelligence.
- It is a forgery by US intelligence.
It is accurate and authentic and there really were 1,205 US POWs
This does not work. US intelligence had a good handle on the number of
Americans who were held prisoner in North and South Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia.
Except for a small number, there were no surprises when Operation Homecoming ended. 1,205
Americans being held prisoner is far removed from even the most exorbitant
estimates. The demonstrable errors in the document also destroy this thesis.
No senior military officer would deliberately give such an array of false information to
the senior, inner core of the Party leadership.
The POW numbers in the 1,205 document are not for real.
It is authentic but the source embellished the story
This document, remember, is not a copy of a report given by a Vietnamese military
officer to the Politburo. It is alleged to be a report written by a Russian
intelligence case officer based on a report given to him by a Vietnamese who heard the
report to the Politburo then told it all to his case officer. That is, a Vietnamese
was spying on his own people and reported what he heard to his Russian case officer.
So, what we have here is a product of human intelligence reporting -- HUMINT as it is
called. When dealing with human sources, you learn one thing quickly: keep
your skepticism cranked to a high level. When evaluating information received from
human sources, you must evaluate the source and his track record as well as the
information.
- Has the source reported in the past? Has his reporting been fully reliable?
generally reliable? total bullshit?
- Was the source in such a position to collect this information? A businessman who
travels around southern China is not likely to collect the secrets of the Chinese
Communist politburo but he certainly is able to tell you about the price of rice in the
local markets.
- Is the source under some pressure that would cause him to fabricate or embellish a
story? Maybe the source has not been producing much of value and the case officer
has raised hell with him about it -- so the source decides to produce a real zinger.
- How does this information compare with other information that we know to be
accurate? If we have confirmed that a certain situation exists, then a source
reports directly the opposite, well, we may have a new situation or we may have a problem
with the source.
- What about the information itself? Confirmed by others? Plausible?
Implausible? Refuted by proven data?
While exploiting imagery and intercepted signals may seem exciting, the fact is that
HUMINT is where the good stuff lies. Human sources can give you not only the facts
of what is happening, but a human source can offer insights into the "Why" of an
event. Human sources can give you clues as to motiviation, reaction, and all the
other important elements of a puzzle that imagery and signals intelligence cannot
provide. However, human sources are human and they can give you a real crock,
too. A human source may inflate the story to make himself seem more important; may
make up a story to keep on the good side of his case officer; may hold back part of the
story to tell it later; and, a human source may be working both sides of the street and be
feeding you what the other side wants you to hear. In the case of the 1,205
document, if the report is authentic -- if it really came from a Vietnamese source who had
some access to Politburo reports -- it certainly is not accurate and it is the type of
thing we see in HUMINT all the time: a report with some truth and lots of nonsense,
probably thrown in to make it look better.
Thus, the 1,205 document may be authentic but not accurate. It may be a piece
of flawed HUMINT reporting -- which is not an unusual occurrence.
The number "1,205" refers to the total of US POWs and
certain South Vietnamese POWs
Wick Tourison ( Sedgwick D. Tourison, Jr. ) has an interesting view of the
document.
For those of you who do not know Wick, let me explain. He was an enlisted
interrogator in Vietnam, later became a Chief Warrant Officer. Wick was, and still
is, one of the top interrogators and analysts in the business. He had over five
years in country, including some sort of spooky stuff in Laos. Wick worked with me
in DIA for a while and he saved my butt several times by pointing out analytic conclusions
and by turning up good sources. Wick was on the staff of the Senate Select Committee
where he was a voice of reason and maturity in the face of assaults from Hendon and Dino.
Here is Wick's thesis.
There were, active in Indochina during the war, certain US covert operations that used
indigenous personnel as operatives. The most widespread of this was the Ops Group
34-Alpha operation. When Vietnam was partitioned in 1954, a large number of
northerners fled south. When war developed between the two Vietnams, some of these
northerners in the south were recruited as agents to be infiltrated back into the north
for sabotage and espionage missions. The problem with this operation was that it was
infiltrated by the communists and the agents -- singleton and teams -- were bagged just
about as soon as they arrived in their target areas. They were tried as traitors and
spies and imprisoned. After their release, some of them emigrated to the US. Wick
interviewed a number of these men, researched the project from both the Vietnamese and US
sides, and wrote it up in a book called Project Alpha.
In addition to the 34-Alpha operation, there were other covert operations that used
Vietnamese, Lao, Cambodians, Thai, and other nationalities, but not Americans.. The
North Vietnamese referred to these people as "American commandos,"
"American spies," or "American saboteurs." ( NOTE: I recall one incident in which we interviewed some pro-American Lao who had been
released from Pathet Lao captivity. They reported that, as they left the prison camp
and traveled through a local village, the people asked them "Where are the
Americans?" They replied that there were no Americans in the prison, only
Lao. It turns out that the guards had continually told the local folks that the
prisoners were American puppets, American spies, or American agents and the local folks
just assumed that there were real Americans in the prison. )
Wick points out that, according to his research, the number of such indigenous folks in
captivity was on the order of 600. Thus, this number of "American commandos,
spies, or saboteurs," when added to the 591 genuine Americans who were held, yields
close to the 1,205 figure.
Here is an interesting item that has an impact on Wick's thesis. The Quang
document states that forty-seven US POWs captured during covert operations included
"36 special operations forces advisers who were inserted in the border region
between DRV (Vietnam) and Laos." General John Singlaub and Colonel Steve
Cavanaugh, both former commanders of the US unit responsible for covert operations along
the Vietnam - Lao border ( MACV/SOG ) insist that none of their American personnel were
lost in insertion operations along the North Vietnam - Lao border. There
were fifteen or so special ops soldiers missing along the Ho Chi Minh Trail area of
Laos and Cambodia bordering South Vietnam. Singlaub and Cavanaugh do
recall that as many as forty-seven Asian special ops personnel on
missions for MACV/SOG could have been captured further north in Laos. But,
these people were not Americans, they were Vietnamese. Still, they were just the
type who would have been refereed to by the North Vietnamese as "American commandos,
spies, or saboteurs."
Wick's thesis should be given some weight. The number "1,205" may refer to
the total of US POWs plus various Vietnamese, Lao, Cambodian, and others who were working
for the US as "spies, commandos, and saboteurs."
It is a forgery by Russian intelligence
Maybe the Russians forged, then planted, the document knowing that Morris or some other
researcher would find it and that the document would create a huge debate within the
US. Why would they do this? To torpedo the growing US - Vietnam
relationship. Remember, the document surfaced in January 1993. By this time,
there was considerable debate in the US as to whether or not we should lift our embargo on
Vietnam and anyone with half a brain could see that it was only a matter of time before
the embargo was lifted. The next stop would be full relations and the Russians could
not stand this.
Along with the collapse of the Soviet Union and its Eastern European empire, Russia saw
their overseas empire collapse. Vietnam was important to Russia because of the
military potential of Cam Ranh Bay. The Soviet Pacific Fleet used Cam Ranh as a home
port, for refueling, repair, R & R, and the like. Soviet TU-95/BEAR long-range
bombers were stationed at Cam Ranh. These aircraft were configured for
anti-submarine surveillance and attack and for electronic intercept. From Cam Ranh,
they ranged all over the South China Sea and the Western Pacific, monitoring US naval
activity.
Soviet - Vietnamese relations were not really smooth to begin with and the Russians
knew that, when US - Vietnam relations got smoothed out, they would be the odd man
out. Russia needed Vietnam.
What better way to trash the growing US - Vietnam relationship than to have someone
find a document that proved that the treacherous Vietnamese had not released a huge number
of US POWs?
The errors in the document, if it was a Russian forgery, are due to the fact that the
Russians would not have had access to the details that they tried to portray as accurate.
If it was a Russian forgery, it worked for a while. US - Vietnamese relationship
went on hold until the document was analyzed and other work was done.
The document may have been a Russian forgery aimed at wrecking US - Vietnamese
relations.
It is a forgery by US intelligence
Now, here is an intriguing theory. In her book Prisoners of
Hope, Susan Katz-Keating claims that "In June 1994 I learned that the forgery
was actually the work of the CIA." Now, that's a really strong statement.
Let's examine why the CIA would want to plant such a document.
It seems that in the course of researching the Vietnamese archives dealing with US
POWs, we had learned of the existence of a set of documents that came to be called
"The Blue Book." It was a handwritten, day-by-day account of Americans
captured by Communist forces and their eventual fates.
Remember earlier I described how General Vessey went to Vietnam in April 1993 and
demanded an explanation of the 1,205 document? Well, one of the documents that the
Vietnamese turned over to Vessey during that visit was the "Blue Book."
They gave it to him because they felt that this original document would show clearly
exactly how many Americans had been captured by their forces during the war and would
refute the claims of the 1,205 document ( it was dog-eared, faded, handwritten and
no doubt genuine ). They knew that we would subject this document to extensive
forensic analysis and we would determine that it was genuine. ( We did. It is.
)
Katz-Keating says that her source claimed that the CIA forged the 1,205 document then
planted it where they knew some foreign researcher would find it. When the
Vietnamese were confronted with a seemingly authentic document "proving" that
they held more US POWs than they released, they would do everything they could to prove
that the document was bogus, including releasing their original document -- the Blue Book.
If this was the case, it worked.
The document may have been a forgery by US intelligence to force the Vietnamese, in
self-defense, to release documents that we wanted from them.
So, Where Does This Leave Us?
Those who want to believe that the 1,205 document is one of the gospels will not be
convinced by anything I have said here. However, most folks have never seen a
description of the document except for that carried on the "activist" web sites
and in their literature. I believe that, by presenting some facts, I will allow
folks to make an informed judgment.
What do I believe?
I would really like to believe the CIA forgery thesis. I do not know the true
nature of the 1,205 document. I do know that the Vietnamese did not hold any 1,205
Americans and they did not keep back over 600 at Operation Homecoming. Everything we
knew during the war, everything we have learned since the war, and everything that we are
learning through our searches and research in country simply reinforces this conclusion.
Here is where I come down, for what it is worth. Of all the possible explanations
of the true nature of the document, I vote for the idea that it
is a flawed piece of HUMINT reporting. I suspect that some low-level source,
reporting to the Soviets, blew some smoke at his Soviet case officer.
If I am wrong, and one of the other theories is correct,then, in order of
priority, I would support the following theories:
- Russian forgery
- CIA forgery
- Counting indigenous POWs along with US POWs
No way this thing is accurate and authentic.
|